Monday, January 17, 2011

Global Warming Falls Short Under More Intense Scrutiny

Those that have been pushing Anthropological Global Warming (AGW) have been keeping a pretty low profile. The only piece of AGW information that has been released recently has come from NASA’s GISS and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), that 2010 was either the hottest year on record or was tied for that distinction. This seeming predictable announcement by the proponents of AGW has suddenly had to defend their data from a slew of scientists detractors and investigative scientific journalist that are finally doing their job. One point of contention has been the a bit of attention has been the National Climatic Data Center's (NCDC) ,( wattsupwiththat.com), apparent deviation from the other climate agencies saying 1998 was the hottest recorded year, and 2010 ranks 94 out of 116 years. If that’s the case, who’s right? Well this is what happens when you have an activist scientist, James Hansen in charge of the Global Warming arm of NASA;the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS). Hansen has been under increasing scrutiny over his “fabricated numbers” by the likes of the highly regarded “Real Science”; from the UK Telgraph Real Science demonstrates that the parts of the world which GISS shows to be heating up the most are so short of weather stations that only 25 per cent of the figures are based on actual temperature readings. The rest are simply conjectured by GISS. This is not the first time Dr Hansen’s temperature record has come under expert fire. Three years ago, GISS was forced to revise many of its figures when it was shown that wholesale “adjustments” had been made, revising older temperatures downwards and post-2000 figures upwards.”

After The UN Climate Change Conference debacles in Copenhagen (which was routed by Climategate and the fact that carbon credits would be taken from the non industrial countries and given to IMF) and Cancun, the IPCC has all but capitulated as the real science is starting to win out. Climate Depot in a Special report discusses how “More Than 1000 International Scientists Dissent Over Man-Made Global Warming Claims - Challenge UN IPCC and Gore.” RK Pachuari (head of the IPCC) admitted in the India times, that first, if there is a lack of data to prove (AGW), then the data is made up, “in some cases, you really don't have a quantitative base by which you can attach a probability or a level of uncertainty that defines things in quantitative terms. And there, let's not take away the importance of expert judgment.” Second, that the IPCC is owned by governments, and the results of their research are what ever Governments wants, “…we are owned by governments. If that was not the case, then we would be like any other scientific body that maybe producing first-rate reports but don't see the light of the day because they don't matter in policy-making. Now clearly, if it's an inter-governmental body and we want governments' ownership of what we produce, obviously they will give us guidance of what direction to follow, what are the questions they want answered.

If there is one piece of pseudo science that is the centerpiece of AGW it is Phil Jones and Michael Mann's Hockey Stick Graph. However, even Jones has had to admit that the graph’s presumption that there has never been a period of warming as has been experienced since the 1900’s and the Industrial Revolution is in dispute. From a reveling article in the UK’s Daily MailClimategate U-turn as scientist at centre of row admits: There has been no global warming since 1995”, “Skeptics believe there is strong evidence that the world was warmer between about 800 and 1300 AD...” which runs counter to the Man Man Made Global Warming consensus, “Professor Jones departed from this consensus when he said: ‘There is much debate over whether the Medieval Warm Period was global in extent or not. The MWP is most clearly expressed in parts of North America, the North Atlantic and Europe and parts of Asia.” Jones and Mann also have not shared any of the data they used to construct the Hockey Stick graph and now say the data is missing due to poor record keeping.

What has also become common is the confusing of weather and climate. The fact that there was an ice (or Glacial age) about 20,000 years ago and that the planet has slowly become warmer to what it is today is climate. The fact that global temperatures have been relatively stable for 15 years is the weather. But the global warming alarmists use these terms interchangingly to suit their purposes. When someone points out that recent winters have been colder, some colder than recorded history, they are quick to quantify this information as weather not climate. However the same AGW scientists have created a farcical “global temperature” to state that 2010 was the hottest years in history, as if there is some scientific manner to measure global temperatures, which there is not. Meteorologist Dr. Ryan Maue of Florida State University ridiculed the “hottest year” rankings and Hansen’s admission that it “was not particularly important” which year was declared the “hottest.” “Well, then stop issuing press releases which tout the rankings, which are subject to change ex post facto,” Maue demanded.” From Professor Werner Kirstein of the Institute for Geography at the University of Leipzig “caution(s) against placing too much emphasis on the decade of 2001 -2010 being the hottest decade on record, believing the claim is “a joke” and saying that determining a global average is a tricky business and in the end is only a theoretical value.

And finally from Icecap Today’s “record warmth” may be fleeting. Statements by agenda driven government agencies can’t be trusted. Real scientific data, not shadowy half truths show that earth’s temperature is falling and has fallen nearly 4 degrees Fahrenheit in the last 3,000 years. Remember, when someone only reveals part of the truth it means they have something to hide.

Added 01.18.2010
After writing this article, I found several articles on an editorial James Hansen wrote in a state controlled Chinese newspaper. One area of AGW I did not discuss are the eco-fascists such as IPCC Professor David Shearman and James Hansen; both view AGW as a rational for eliminating the Constitutional government of the US for a totalitarian government that they feel could better address the problem of AGW. From prisonplanet.com David Shearman has called for a future government and a new Green religion to replace Christianity and Islam, “Government in the future will be based upon . . . a supreme office of the biosphere. The office will comprise specially trained philosopher/ecologists. These guardians will either rule themselves or advise an authoritarian government of policies based on their ecological training and philosophical sensitivities. These guardians will be specially trained for the task...And it is not too difficult to imagine what shape this new religion could take. One would require a transcendent God who could punish and reward – because humans seem to need a carrot and a stick.”

James Hansen is a little more simplistic, but stills believes the authoritarian Chinese is the world's best hope to, “lead the world through the most dangerous crisis that humanity and nature have ever faced”. Hansen believes the US Democracy (is) Not Competent To Deal With Global Warming, saying "Democracy of the sort intended in 1776 probably could have dealt with climate change, but not the fossil-money-’democracy’ that now rules the roost in Washington. Either Hansen has forgotten or simply does not care that the Chinese take great pride that they starved 60 million people to death (the Chinese actually say 84 million died) to bring China into the modern world. One wonders how he expects the Chinese model will work in the US.

What this demonstrates is the scientific dictatorship, which has the basis of Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels, has simply changes it names. Those espousing the tyranny of a collective government will always find a scientific reason to enslave the masses. If Communism fails, then the elite will use AGW; as AGW has started to fail, the next scientific emergency ready to take it's place will likely be the scarcity of resources and over population. Regardless of the reason, if the collectivist do take control, whether it's called fascism, communism, socialism or eco-fascism, history tells us the end result will always be massive starvation and the death of millions of people.

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