FA Hayek explains the dogma of Obama's political beliefs such as Global Warming 60 years ago.
"So he will readily embrace theories which seem to provide a rational
justification for the prejudices which he shares with many of his
fellows. Thus a pseudoscientific theory becomes part of the official
creed which to a greater or lesser degree directs everybody’s action.
"Hayek, F. A. (2010-10-22). The Road to Serfdom: Text and Documents--The Definitive Edition (The Collected Works of F. A. Hayek, Volume 2) . University of Chicago Press - A. Kindle Edition.
There is incredible political pressure that has been put on the proving Climate Change. This reached new levels when it was discovered that NOAA’s US Historical Climatology Network (USHCN) had been “adjusting” its record by replacing real temperatures with data “fabricated” by computer models. The unadjusted and historical temperatures show that the US has actually been cooling since the Thirties, the hottest decade on record; whereas the latest graph, nearly half of it based on “fabricated” data, shows it to have been warming. Once this was brought to light, NOAA changed the temperature data back to the historical accurate numbers.The animated image below shows the changes which Dr. Hansen made to the
historical US temperature record after the year 1999. He cooled the
1930s, and warmed the 1980s and 1990s. The year 1998 went from being
more than half a degree cooler than 1934, to warmer than 1934..
noaanasa-dramatically-altered-us-temperatures-after-the-year-2000/
One of the vehicles used by Man Made Climate Change (MMCC) zelots has been the continued use of lies and fabricated information in an attempt to prove that MMCC exists to a point that there will be long range negative effects. Even the choice of C02 being the main culprit is not based on any empirical evidence, but the simple fact that if MMCC exists, C02 is the only greehouse gas that man creates in any quantity. There has never been any evidence that C02 traps heat, only constantly stated mis-information presented as Proxy or Observational science that the rest of the scientific community views at not being valid descriptions of the scientific process.
Observational Science
When Al Gore first took the helm as chief zealot of MMCC, he would consistently show the C02 heat cycle of the ocean in reverse. It is excepted science that as the Ocean warms, it releases C02, however Gore would present his MMCG argument showing as C02 levels increased, the ocean warms; something he still does to this day
gore-and-bill-nye-fail-at-doing-a-simple-co2-experiment. It has also been completely ignored that none of Al Gores predictions of Catastrophic Climate Changes has come true, and neither has any of the thousands of computer models that were programmed to show climate change accelerated by an increase in C02. Great Global Warming.
And while C02 levels have been increasing steadily (ie 315ppm in 1958 to 400 ppm today), there has been no global warming in almost 19 years.
global-warming-pause-hits-18-years
The issues with these Climate Change computer models was voiced back in the 1970s. In 1975 National Academy of Sciences set up a "U.S. Committee for the Global Atmospheric Research Program" which included many top scientists. Academy reports and other scientific pronouncements... pointed out that predictions of future warming were based mainly on computer models, which were grossly oversimplified and relied on poorly measured numbers. Some scientists held that if the world was currently warming (which they doubted), that was just part of a natural cycle. Or the climate system might fluctuate in a purely random way, regardless of what humanity did.
History of Climate Change
and the reality is this remains as true today as it was 40 years ago; the main issue being that their are so many variables to Climate Change, that computer models must use significantly oversimplified data , usually pointed in one direction or another to produce and usable result; and predictions of future warming based on these computer models have been universally wrong.
There have also been study after study that were released with much fan fare that supposedly proved MMCC, only to be debunked as fraudulent once the methods of the author was discovered; the two major studies that fall into this category are Michael Manns Hockey Stick Graph and the 97% consensus on MMCC. The so called 97% consensus of climate scientists that man made climate change is a danger to the planet, is not only false, it may be a fraud as well. You see the survey of climate scientists was not a survey at all; in fact no scientists were ever contacted. Instead, the Cook survey was a search engine, that was so faulty it wrongly showed a 97% consensus. However when the scientific papers were actually reviewed and their authors contacted, it turns out the majority were neutral on the subject of man made global warming; many also contacted Cook and asked to be removed from the survey. The survey was so faulty that in reality of 3% respondents "explicitly stated agreement with the IPCC declarations on global warming', meaning the 97% is actually the opposite of; the presented consensuses.
97% consensus on Climate Change a fraud
Michael Manns "hockey stick" graph has been discounted for two main reasons. The first was he treated proxy data as if was empirical evidence, and he refused to disclose his data so there is no way it could ever stand up to any scientific scrutiny. " When one talks about proxy data, it means such things as tree rings, ice cores and lake sediments; these and other proxy data is open to interpretation and requires a huge amount of repetitive results to be even be close to being reliable; it was the tree ring scientists (dendrochronologists) that complained about the Manns lack of cross-check tree ring records with other trees in the area to confirm his data. There is also the fact that though tree ring data was taken from hundreds Siberian samples for the hockey stick graph, only one was used; now refereed to as "the most influential tree in the world." Climategate-reveals-the-most-influential-tree-in-the-world
"The fact Mann refused to disclose his ‘hockey stick’ graph metadata in the British Columbia Supreme Court, as he is required to do under Canadian civil rules of procedure, constituted a fatal omission to comply, rendering his lawsuit unwinnable. As such, Dr Ball, by default, has substantiated his now famous assertion that Mann belongs "in the state pen, not Penn. State." In short, Mann failed to show he did not fake his tree ring proxy data for the past 1,000 years, so Ball’s assessment stands as fair comment. Moreover, many hundreds of papers in the field of paleoclimate temperature reconstructions that cite Mann’s work are likewise tainted, heaping more misery on the discredited UN’s Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC) which has a knack of relying on such sub prime science."
michael-mann-faces-bankruptcy-as-his-courtroom-climate-capers-collapse
Showing posts with label IPCC. Show all posts
Showing posts with label IPCC. Show all posts
Friday, October 10, 2014
Sunday, September 29, 2013
MIT Climate Scientists Call IPCC report "Hilarious Incoherence"
With climate week coming to the UN it may be worth looking at the IPCC's new assessment on Man Made Global Warming (AGW); basically the report says it ain't happening, especially since 1998. This of course means that every climate change computer model has produced bunk. It also turns out that Arctic ice, which had been melting at a record rate is now growing back at a record rate; 60 % in just one year! In an article in Popular Technology.net it turns out the 97% consensus on AGW was greatly exaggerated with many of the scientists complaining that John Cook's team falsely classified their papers as "endorsing AGW." Finally you have the commissioner of the EU policy on global warming admitting the science appears to not sustain AGW, but that the EU should follow through with it in the event it proves to be true in the future. EU, Climate Change Policy Right Even if Science Wrong This is not to say the IPCC has given up on global warming. While they admit they don't understand the recent lack of warming, they have doubled down with their computer models saying the proof of AGW is greater than ever. The lack of warming they say should be looked at with the knowledge that climate occurs over thousands of years, so a decade without warming is not that consequential. This sounds reasonable unless you realize that AGW is based on proxy science, meaning it is based on what is already known about historic climate change, which only goes back about 100 years and it was the warming of the 1980's and 90's that was in part, the bases of the proxy science proof of AGW; in other wards the AGW proponents themselves sold AGW on the warming of a few decades. Further, the AGW proponents have locked AGW together with C02 being a heat trapping gas and therefore heating up the planet, but during the last 15 years C02 levels have increased at a rapid rate but there has been no warming.
The real issue is AGW is a political notion not really based in science. The current school of thought amongst the AGW proponents trying to explain the failure of all their computer models, is the warming air is hiding in the ocean and there are governments, including the US that castigated the IPCC for not giving enough weight to this supposition. “The U.S. also urged the authors to include the ‘leading hypothesis’ that the reduction in warming is linked to more heat being transferred to the deep ocean,” US and Europe tried to Cover Up Data Showing Lack of Global Warming The mere fact the government entites is involved in any way with a scientific report shows it is political and not scientific.
Climate scientists from MIT explain the since the previous computer models failed to include the transfer of heat into the ocean question the validity of the extent of AGW. “However, it is this heat transport that plays a major role in natural internal variability of climate, and the IPCC assertions that observed warming can be attributed to man depend crucially on their assertion that these models accurately simulate natural internal variability,” Lindzen continued. “Thus, they now, somewhat obscurely, admit that their crucial assumption was totally unjustified.” Top MIT Scientists say IPCC climate report hilariously flawed “I think that the latest IPCC report has truly sunk to level of hilarious incoherence,” Dr. Richard Lindzen told Climate Depot, a global warming skeptic news site. “They are proclaiming increased confidence in their models as the discrepancies between their models and observations increase.”
When a human body is shot or stabbed and a main artery is ruptured, the person will usually bleed out in 30 seconds. During the beginning of the 30 seconds the person can be alert and seemingly functional; in other words the body is dead, but the brain doesn't know it yet.
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